🌍 Country Pulse

Methodology

conflict_share = (quad3 + quad4) / n_events
material_share = quad4 / n_events
unrest_rate    = (protest_n + violence_n) / n_events
goldstein_wavg = goldstein_sum / goldstein_w        # -10..+10
stability = 100 * (
    0.40 * (1 - conflict_share)
  + 0.25 * (1 - min(1.0, 3.0 * material_share))
  + 0.20 * ((goldstein_wavg + 10) / 20)
  + 0.15 * (1 - min(1.0, 4.0 * unrest_rate)))

Data: GDELT Project (event records, 15-min cadence). Aggregates only; scores computed from published components. Countries below 10 events today are unlisted (small-sample noise — a single event can swing a share metric wildly on a near-empty denominator). Baseline = the trailing 30 days, excluding today, with components summed across the whole window and the same formula applied once — not an average of 30 daily scores. See gdeltproject.org.