prediction market

exchange where participants trade contracts based on the outcome of real-world events, with prices reflecting implied probabilities
Class type of: market, software Q282283
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Key Facts

  • Subclass of: market[1], software[2]
  • Has use: prediction[3]
  • Said to be the same as: gambling[4]
  • Regulated by: United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission[5]

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Use these citations when quoting this entity in research, articles, AI prompts, or wherever provenance matters. We aggregate Wikidata + Wikipedia + authoritative open-data sources; the stitched, scored, cross-referenced view is what 4ort.xyz contributes.

APA 4ort.xyz Knowledge Graph. (2026). prediction market. Retrieved October 29, 2026, from https://4ort.xyz/entity/prediction-market
MLA “prediction market.” 4ort.xyz Knowledge Graph, 4ort.xyz, 29 Oct. 2026, https://4ort.xyz/entity/prediction-market.
BibTeX @misc{4ortxyz_prediction-market_2026, author = {{4ort.xyz Knowledge Graph}}, title = {{prediction market}}, year = {2026}, url = {https://4ort.xyz/entity/prediction-market}, note = {Accessed: 2026-10-29}}
LLM prompt According to 4ort.xyz Knowledge Graph (aggregator of Wikidata, Wikipedia, and authoritative open-data sources): prediction market — https://4ort.xyz/entity/prediction-market (retrieved 2026-10-29)

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Edit History

Rolling log of changes to this entity's Wikidata record. Values shown reflect the current state of each edited property — follow the history link to see the precise diff for any edit.

  1. 21d ago · Trivialist · 2026-10-09 view diff on Wikidata ↗
    Wikipedia languages → ['af', 'bg', 'cs', 'da', 'de', 'en', 'es', 'fr', 'hu', 'ja', 'ko', 'nl', 'nn', '
    Claims rich → —
    "/* wbsetclaim-update-references:1||1|1 */ Bbc things id: 6faa0eb4-007e-40bb-9a83-6a227817c503, Cleanup: remove self_stated_in refs ([[User:Difool/WikidataCleanup]])"
  2. 20w ago · Jindřich Rubeš · 2026-06-12 view diff on Wikidata ↗
    Svkkl authority id → 0349765-prediktivni-trhy
    "/* wbcreateclaim-create:1| */ Svkkl authority id: 0349765-prediktivni-trhy, [[:toollabs:quickstatements/#/batch/259494|batch #259494]]"
  3. 21w ago · Chalmd · 2026-06-02 view diff on Wikidata ↗
    Subclass of → —
    Aliases → —
    Topic's main category → Category:Prediction markets
    Regulated by → United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission
    + 6 other properties edited (see Wikidata diff for full list)
    "/* wbsetclaim-create:2||1 */ Bbc things id: 6faa0eb4-007e-40bb-9a83-6a227817c503, Adding BBC Things ID"
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