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gambler's fallacy

mistaken belief that more frequent chance events will lead to less frequent chance events, or vice versa, to balance out
Thing Fallacy Q839726

Facts

2 properties
Instance of
fallacy, cognitive bias[2]
Opposite of
hot-hand fallacy[3]
🏷️ Also known as
en fallacy of the maturity of chances en Monte Carlo fallacy en gambler's fallacy ar مغالطة المقامر cs Gamblerův paradox de Trugschluss des Spielers de Spielerfehlschluss el Πλάνη του τζογαδόρου el Η πλάνη του τζογαδόρου es falacia de Montecarlo es falacia del jugador es falacia de monte carlo fa مغالطه رشد شانس fa مغالطه قمارباز fa مغالطهٔ قمارباز fa مغالطه مونت کارلو fi Pelurin virhepäätelmä fr erreur du parieur he כשל המהמר he שיטת ד'אלמבר

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🔗 Connections
Instance of 2
fallacy, cognitive bias
Named after 1
inverse gambler's fallacy
Opposite of 1
hot-hand fallacy
← Contributing factor of 1
clustering illusion
← Opposite of 1
hot-hand fallacy
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Summary

gambler's fallacy is a fallacy[1].

Body

Works and Contributions

Things named for gambler's fallacy include inverse it[4], a non sequitur[5].

Why It Matters

Entities named for it include inverse it[4], a non sequitur[5].

References

Programmatic citations — every numbered marker resolves to a verifiable graph row below.

Direct Wikidata claims

  1. [2] ↑ . wikidata.org.
  2. [3] ↑ . wikidata.org.

Inverse relationships (entities pointing at this one)

  1. [4] ↑ . wikidata.org. → on this site

Inline context (facts about related entities)

  1. [5] ↑ . Wikidata. wikidata.org. → on this site

Class ancestry

  1. [1] ↑ . Wikidata. wikidata.org.

📑 Cite this page

Use these citations when quoting this entity in research, articles, AI prompts, or wherever provenance matters. We aggregate Wikidata + Wikipedia + authoritative open-data sources; the stitched, scored, cross-referenced view is what 4ort.xyz contributes.

APA 4ort.xyz Knowledge Graph. (2026). gambler's fallacy. Retrieved November 11, 2026, from https://4ort.xyz/entity/gambler-s-fallacy
MLA “gambler's fallacy.” 4ort.xyz Knowledge Graph, 4ort.xyz, 11 Nov. 2026, https://4ort.xyz/entity/gambler-s-fallacy.
BibTeX @misc{4ortxyz_gambler-s-fallacy_2026, author = {{4ort.xyz Knowledge Graph}}, title = {{gambler's fallacy}}, year = {2026}, url = {https://4ort.xyz/entity/gambler-s-fallacy}, note = {Accessed: 2026-11-11}}
LLM prompt According to 4ort.xyz Knowledge Graph (aggregator of Wikidata, Wikipedia, and authoritative open-data sources): gambler's fallacy — https://4ort.xyz/entity/gambler-s-fallacy (retrieved 2026-11-11)

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